Amed Rosario

Rosario owns a .438 AVG and 1.034 OPS in 17 career PA vs Detmers — one of the clearest batter-vs-pitcher edges in this game. The multi-year trend is consistent: 2.000 OPS (2021), 0.600 OPS (2022), 1.667 OPS (2023), 1.000 OPS (2024), and 0.666 OPS in 3 PA in 2026. He makes contact against this lefty across multiple seasons. His L7d form is .838 OPS. The career edge here is among the strongest in this slate.

Rosario has the largest BvP sample of any NYY batter vs Sandoval: 17 career PA, .118 AVG, 0.236 OPS with 0 HR. Across four seasons he has posted 0.000 OPS in 2022 and 2023 (6 combined PA), and even his best showing (2024: 5 PA, 0.400 OPS) is a small spike. The overall career line is .118 — among the weakest BvP records in this matchup table. Sandoval is a lefty and Rosario's vL OPS (.611) is well below his vR mark. +142 odds provide solid value on a high-probability under.

Career vs Skubal: 15 PA, .077 AVG, 0.277 OPS, 0 HR. The 15 PA sample spans 2021, 2022, and 2024, confirming sustained inability to hit Skubal. His most recent exposure (2024, 3 PA, 0.666 OPS) is the only partial exception, but it is a 3-PA sample insufficient to override the full-career pattern. At +150 (40% implied), the market offers genuine value on an Under backed by a multi-year career BvP showing .077 AVG. NYY is in a historic 3-hits-in-4-straight-games offensive drought, further suppressing contact expectations.