Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every MLB game
Andrew Alvarez
Throws L · 2026 player profile
Quality of contact allowed
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-04-19 — 2026-09-25 · 25 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Our picks on Alvarez
Saved upcoming picks
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Our past picks
Original reasoning and recorded results.
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Inside the repertoire
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
The arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CurveballCU | 32% | 82.9 | 34.5% | 0.225 | 88.3 | -10.9 | -12.5 | 2731 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 28% | 92.2 | 12.6% | 0.368 | 87.6 | 3.1 | 13.8 | 2324 |
| SliderSL | 21% | 84.2 | 35.7% | 0.356 | 90.3 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 2664 |
| SinkerSI | 14% | 91.7 | 16.8% | 0.417 | 92.7 | 14.0 | 5.7 | 2275 |
| ChangeupCH | 5% | 86.3 | 36.8% | 0.189 | 82.1 | 15.3 | 4.9 | 1825 |
Contact allowed by location
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Data detail
Season & career
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Washington Nationals | 25 | 17 | 112.2 | 114 | 51 | 3.43 | 1.30 |
| 2025 · Washington Nationals | 5 | 5 | 23.1 | 20 | 10 | 2.31 | 1.11 |
| Career | 30 | 22 | 136.0 | 134 | 61 | 3.24 | 1.26 |
Recorded game dates 25 dates
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 23 | 0.401 | 0.368 | 93.1 | 0.231 |
| 2026-09-19 | 23 | 0.236 | 0.227 | 93.2 | 0.071 |
| 2026-09-12 | 26 | 0.217 | 0.045 | 86.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-06 | 19 | 0.314 | 0.235 | 86.6 | 0.083 |
| 2026-08-30 | 23 | 0.206 | 0.100 | 83.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-25 | 20 | 0.399 | 0.278 | 87.2 | 0.167 |
| 2026-08-20 | 21 | 0.305 | 0.222 | 83.2 | 0.071 |
| 2026-08-14 | 21 | 0.391 | 0.100 | 89.7 | 0.125 |
| 2026-08-08 | 20 | 0.225 | 0.158 | 86.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-03 | 24 | 0.339 | 0.150 | 92.5 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
How to read these numbers
Sample: 473 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 305 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 288 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 298 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
