Sep 16, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0600
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Molina's last two starts: 6 K in 5 IP and 6 K in 5 IP — both clear Over 3.5 covers. His 2026 K/9 is 7.66 over 22.1 IP (19 K). The 14.5-outs market implies a ~4.8 IP expected outing; at that length, 4+ Ks is well within his range. STL is a .243 AVG team against RHP. At +106, the market offers near-even money on a line he's cleared in 2 of his last 3 outings when he makes it through 5 innings. The blowup start (4 K, 7 ER in 3 IP) is the primary short-outing risk keeping this MEDIUM rather than HIGH.