Ben Rice over 1.5 total basesL
Oct 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0600
Read original reasoning
Rice has punished Martinez across all samples: career 11 PA, .444 AVG, 1.323 OPS. In 2026: 9 PA, 1.270 OPS — sustained and not a fluke. His 2026 season line of .264/.363/.534 with 41 HR gives him legitimate extra-base power, and Yankee Stadium's HR factor of 1.15 amplifies LH pull-power hitters in the short right-field porch. Getting 1.5 TB over at +106 on a batter with a 1.270 OPS against today's starter is genuine value.
Ben Rice to hit a home runW
Oct 5, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 4.6990
Read original reasoning
Rice leads the Yankees with 41 HR in 2026. In his 5 career PA vs Peralta he has hit .400 (1.400 OPS) with 1 HR, and his 3 most recent PA in 2026 produced a 1.666 OPS — small sample but all positive contact. Peralta has allowed 23 HR in 169 IP in 2026 (1.22 HR/9, above league average). Tropicana Field's HR park factor of 0.9 suppresses power, and the Under 6.5 total context limits scoring confidence. Graded LOW due to dome suppression, Under game context, and the inherent low-probability nature of any single HR market, but the BvP data and Rice's elite power support a speculative play at +370.
Ben Rice over 0.5 hitsW
Sep 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.4900
Read original reasoning
Career vs Gray: 9 PA, .429 AVG, 1.842 OPS, 2 HR — dominant in both 2025 (3 PA, 2.667 OPS) and 2026 (6 PA, 1.500 OPS), meaning this is not a stale sample. Season slash of .264/.363/.534 with 41 HR reinforces elite contact. L7d OPS 1.367 adds hot-hand recency. Yankee Stadium HR factor 1.15 amplifies ceiling.
