Aug 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5800
Read original reasoning
Sousa's last 3 outings: 0.1 IP / 1 K, 1.2 IP / 0 K, 0.1 IP / 0 K. He has totaled 1 strikeout across his last 3 appearances covering just 2.1 IP. In 18.2 IP this season he has 21 K (10.1 K/9) but his role has shifted to micro-relief with almost no opportunity to accumulate strikeouts. Even if he's stretched to 2 innings, his recent K rate in relief is effectively zero. Under 1.5 at -172 reflects market awareness but the actual track record makes this a near-certainty angle.