Brandon Marsh

Marsh is 0-for-4 (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS) in all career PA vs Mahle, with all 4 PAs coming in 2026 — fully current-season matchup data. His season .268 AVG vs RHP (.773 OPS vR) looks decent on paper, but the specific 0/4 track record vs Mahle this year is the primary signal. Market at +110 (47.6% implied) offers value given the matchup. Note the 4 PA sample is small.

Marsh vs Gilbert is one of the worst career BvP matchups for any PHI batter: 17 PA, .118 AVG, 0.294 OPS, 0 HR across five seasons (2021-2025). Despite his .277 season average and L7d OPS of 0.757, career data consistently shows Marsh is neutralized by Gilbert — only 2 hits in 17 career PA. At +100, the under offers fair money-line value with a historically significant edge.

Marsh is the strongest PHI BvP case in this game: 5 PA vs Kremer, .250 AVG, 0.900 OPS career — and 2025 specifically showed 1.000 OPS in 3 PA. That positive and improving trend distinguishes him from the rest of PHI's lineup which has collectively struggled vs Kremer. Season .276 AVG with solid contact rates. PHI is favored in a game they've won 9-1 and 7-1 in this same series. Over 0.5 hits at -185 reflects a 64.9% implied probability — Marsh's BvP and lineup context support it. Confidence is LOW due to the small 5 PA career sample.