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May 10, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5800
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Doyle has a meaningful 12 PA career sample vs Sánchez: .400 AVG, 1.000 OPS. Crucially, the trend is improving — 2024: 0.533 OPS in 6 PA, 2025: 1.467 OPS in 6 PA — showing real familiarity with Sánchez's arsenal. Even accounting for Sánchez's elite strikeout rate, Doyle has consistently made contact against him. His season slash of .202/.279/.266 understates his BvP edge here. Market at -172 (63.3%) is reasonable given the sample.
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Apr 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5200
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Career vs Abbott: 9 PA, .500 AVG, 1.556 OPS, 1 HR across 2023-2024. Abbott is pitching markedly worse in 2026 (6.59 ERA, averaging under 4 IP per start), making it unlikely this matchup improves for the pitcher. Doyle's .220 season average understates his track record vs this specific arm. Strong BvP over signal.
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Apr 16, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0500
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Doyle is batting .200 with a .489 OPS vs RHP this season — well below league average. Career vs Ryan Weiss (2026 only): 0-for-2, 0.000 OPS — small 2 PA sample but negative direction. His season-long struggles vs right-handed pitching combined with HOU pitching being projected to limit COL to ~3.5 runs makes Doyle an under candidate. At +105, the under offers positive EV relative to his actual contact rates.