Bryson Stott under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4000
Read original reasoning
Stott is 0-for-11 with a .000 AVG and .000 OPS in 11 2026 PAs against Tyler Mahle — entirely current-year data, making it highly relevant. Stott bats .256 on the season with solid contact rates, so this is a pitcher-driven suppression, not a batter slump. Mahle recorded 3 Ks in his Sep 12 start vs PHI and has a 3.99 ERA — he doesn't miss bats in bulk, but he neutralizes Stott specifically. Market pays +140 for the under — strong value for a matchup with one of the cleaner 2026 sample sizes in the dataset.
Bryson Stott under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2400
Read original reasoning
Stott is 0-for-4 vs Scott in 2026 with a .000 OPS across those 4 PA (small sample caveat). His season slash is .250/.326/.391, and his L28d OPS is a cold .531. Scott's high-K profile (10.85 K/9) compounds Stott's contact struggles in this specific matchup. Under at +124 prices reasonable uncertainty but aligns with the directional data. This is a supplementary under to balance the slate's over-heavy orientation.
Bryson Stott under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 12, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200
Read original reasoning
Stott is 0-for-8 against Mahle in 2026 with 0.000 OPS — a complete blank slate. His season .248 AVG doesn't carry over here. The under 0.5 line at +122 offers genuine positive value against a demonstrably difficult individual matchup. Note: 8 PA is a modest but meaningful 2026-season sample. Consistent with the Under 7.5 game total lean — Mahle suppressing Stott fits the low-scoring game script.
