Cade Cavalli over 6.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0200
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Cavalli's 2026 K/9 is 10.62 (194 K in 164.2 IP). Last 3 starts: 9K (6 IP vs LAA), 8K (6 IP @LAD), 8K (4 IP vs MIA) — over 6.5 in all three. STL's offense is .242 AVG with a .698 OPS, and the team is 49-57 vs RHP. Market prices this at +102 (49.5% implied) — nearly a coin flip — which dramatically undervalues Cavalli's recent strikeout consistency. On extended 7-day rest against a Cardinals lineup on a 2-game skid and trending away from contact, the over is the strongest play on this slate.
Cade Cavalli over 6.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 11, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7100
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Cavalli is posting 10.51 K/9 in 2026 (185 K in 158.2 IP) with a 3.12 ERA. Last 3 starts: 8 K, 8 K, 7 K — all cleared 6.5 comfortably and trending well above the line. Angels offense is the 22nd-ranked scoring unit in MLB at 4.0 R/G with a .682 OPS and a 41-61 record vs RHP. Extended 6-day rest adds freshness to an already dominant arm. Line at 6.5 is below his rolling average of 7.67 over the last 3 starts.
Cade Cavalli over 5.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 5, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0200
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Cavalli's 2026 K/9 is 10.45 (177 K in 152.2 IP). Last 3 starts: 8, 7, 11 Ks — all cleared 5.5 comfortably. On 7 days extended rest. LAD ranks 3.69 team ERA which means their lineup is competitive, but Cavalli's elite K rate makes 5.5 a low bar. Even his worst recent outing (7 Ks) exceeded the line. WSH Under environment means the game stays close and Cavalli likely works deep into his start.
