Cal Raleigh

Raleigh is 14 PA vs Kikuchi with a .364 AVG and 0.974 OPS career. Crucially, 2026 is 3 PA with a 2.667 OPS — he is currently locked in against this lefty. Raleigh has 23 HR on the 2026 season with legitimate pull-side power, and Kikuchi is allowing 7 HR in just 62.2 IP (1.01 HR/9). SEA is favored (ML -172), amplifying the run-environment for Raleigh to come to bat in high-leverage spots. T-Mobile Park HR factor is 0.9, a mild suppressor, but +370 odds more than compensate.

Raleigh leads SEA with 23 HR this season, ranking among the team's primary power threats. Rodriguez has allowed 15 HR in 93.2 IP in 2026 — a 1.44 HR/9 rate that is above league average. T-Mobile Park carries a 0.9 HR factor that modestly suppresses power, but at +300 (25% implied probability), Raleigh's HR rate against a struggling starter offers low-confidence value. Consistent with the SEA win projection from the main committee — if SEA scores, Raleigh in the middle of the order is a catalyst.

News intel confirms Raleigh is 12-for-35 (.343 AVG) with 4 HR and 2 doubles in 9 career games vs the Rockies as an organization. Coors Field HR park factor is 1.2, amplifying his .372 slugging profile. He has 22 HR on the season. COL team pitching ERA is 5.62 with a 1.54 WHIP — and the starter remains TBD, meaning a weak arm is likely. +275 offers strong value relative to the 26.7% implied probability when factoring in elite park factor and career pattern.