Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every MLB game
Caleb Thielbar
Throws L · 2026 player profile
Quality of contact allowed
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-28 — 2026-09-25 · 58 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Our picks on Thielbar
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Our past picks
Original reasoning and recorded results.
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Inside the repertoire
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
The arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 39% | 93.3 | 23.8% | 0.374 | 91.3 | 4.2 | 18.8 | 2309 |
| CurveballCU | 26% | 76.3 | 29.2% | 0.224 | 85.3 | -6.8 | -14.3 | 2588 |
| SliderSL | 22% | 87.5 | 37.9% | 0.391 | 87.4 | -4.8 | 5.2 | 2311 |
| SweeperSW | 14% | 80.2 | 30.5% | 0.279 | 81.5 | -14.9 | -1.4 | 2487 |
Contact allowed by location
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Data detail
Season & career
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Chicago Cubs | 58 | 0 | 50.0 | 60 | 18 | 4.86 | 1.30 |
| 2025 · Chicago Cubs | 67 | 0 | 58.0 | 56 | 13 | 2.64 | 0.88 |
| 2024 · Minnesota Twins | 59 | 0 | 47.1 | 53 | 24 | 5.32 | 1.56 |
| 2023 · Minnesota Twins | 36 | 0 | 30.2 | 36 | 6 | 3.23 | 0.95 |
| 2022 · Minnesota Twins | 67 | 0 | 59.1 | 80 | 18 | 3.49 | 1.16 |
| 2021 · Minnesota Twins | 59 | 0 | 64.0 | 77 | 20 | 3.23 | 1.17 |
| 2020 · Minnesota Twins | 17 | 0 | 20.0 | 22 | 9 | 2.25 | 1.15 |
| 2015 · Minnesota Twins | 6 | 0 | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 5.40 | 1.00 |
| 2014 · Minnesota Twins | 54 | 0 | 47.2 | 35 | 16 | 3.40 | 1.41 |
| 2013 · Minnesota Twins | 49 | 0 | 46.0 | 39 | 14 | 1.76 | 0.83 |
| Career | 472 | 0 | 428.0 | 463 | 138 | 3.45 | 1.16 |
Recorded game dates 58 dates
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 5 | 0.170 | 0.200 | 87.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-22 | 4 | 0.434 | 0.500 | 71.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3 | 0.197 | 0.000 | 87.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3 | 0.611 | 0.333 | 96.7 | 0.500 |
| 2026-09-09 | 3 | 0.266 | 0.000 | 94.9 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-08 | 3 | 0.330 | 0.500 | 69.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-05 | 6 | 0.529 | 0.200 | 97.0 | 0.333 |
| 2026-09-02 | 3 | 0.164 | 0.000 | 101.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-01 | 4 | 0.538 | 0.500 | 88.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-30 | 3 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
How to read these numbers
Sample: 212 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 133 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 117 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 122 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
