Cam Schlittler

Schlittler's 2026 K/9 is 11.21 over 200 IP — among the best in baseball. TB batters are historically suppressed against him: Aranda posted 0.000 OPS in 6 PA in 2026, Díaz owns just a .154 AVG (0.421 OPS) in 15 career PA, Fortes 0.000 OPS in 3 PA, Mesa Jr. 0.000 OPS in 2 PA. Last 3 starts: 10K (6.1 IP), 5K (3.0 IP — shortened outing), 6K (6.0 IP). The outs line at 17.5 (O/U -169/+120) signals market expects ~6 IP, and at full depth he consistently clears 6.5. Postseason Game 2 context — Yankees likely ride their ace — is the key support. Reduced to MEDIUM due to postseason bullpen flexibility risk.

Schlittler is posting 11.07 K/9 in 2026 (234 K in 190.2 IP). Last 3 starts: 6, 8, 10 Ks — trending up. All three previous starts vs TB this season produced exactly 8 Ks, every one clearing 6.5. TB team K/9 is 8.28, decent strikeout rate. Wind blowing in at 16 mph reduces HR risk and supports deeper outings. Outs market has Schlittler 15.5 Over at -127, meaning market expects him to pitch deep enough for Ks to accumulate. Three of three BvP starts over 6.5 is a hard-to-ignore signal.

Schlittler's 228 K in 184.2 IP works out to 11.12 K/9 in 2026 with a 1.95 ERA. Last 3 starts: 8, 10, 9 Ks — a floor of 8 in every recent outing. Line of 5.5 is well below his recent floor. ARI is 53-61 vs RHP this season and has dropped 3 straight. Their offense is sputtering heading into this game. The 5.5 line is a gift given Schlittler's elite swing-and-miss profile.