Carlos Narváez

Narváez is posting one of the worst batting lines in the game: .164 AVG, .242 OBP, .230 SLG on the season. His OPS splits show .480 vs RHP — and he faces Brandon Young (RHP) in Game 2. L7d OPS of 0.334 and L28d OPS of 0.357 confirm this is not a slump — this is his level. He is effectively the weakest bat in the starting lineup with almost no contact production. Under 0.5 hits at -192 (65.8% implied) is well-supported by every available data point. The juice is real but so is the edge.

Narváez carries a .224 AVG with a .557 OPS vs RHP — Bradley's side. Career vs Bradley: 3 PA, .000 AVG, 0.000 OPS (2025 sample — small but a signal). His season vR split at 0.557 ranks among the weakest in the BOS lineup. Bradley's 2026 ERA of 2.87 and strong K rate suppress contact against weaker bats. Getting +116 on a hits under is positive expected value given the matchup data.