Carson Benge over 1.5 total basesL
Sep 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3600
Read original reasoning
Benge is slashing .277/.341/.423 with 19 HR and is scorching over the past 7 days (L7d OPS 1.071). His extra-base hit profile — 19 HR, .423 SLG — makes clearing 1.5 total bases very achievable; a single plus any extra-base hit, or a double, does it. His vR OPS of 0.769 is solid against McLean. +136 is strong value for one of the two hottest bats on the slate who hits for real power, even in a modest-scoring game environment.
Carson Benge under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4400
Read original reasoning
Benge is 0-for-6 (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS) vs Pérez in 2026 — all six plate appearances this season without a hit. At +144 (41% implied probability), the market is pricing him as a 59% hit-getter today. His season .276 BA is respectable but BvP is the primary signal here and six 2026 PA with zero contact is a meaningful data point. Under Total: consistent with the Under 7.5 game total and MIA run-line lean suppressing NYM offensive output.
Carson Benge over 1.5 total basesL
Aug 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2800
Read original reasoning
Benge is the hottest Mets hitter on the slate: .954 L28d OPS, .835 L7d. Season .426 SLG with vR splits of 0.773 vs right-handed pitching. He faces Pecko's 7.88 ERA and extreme walk rate. Benge needs just 2 total bases — a double alone clears it — against a pitcher who cannot locate fastballs. His 16 HR and 19 SB reflect gap power and athleticism. +128 is strong value on a hot bat vs a struggling arm.
