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Throws L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-06-24 — 2026-08-04 · 11 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 2 past picks from 2 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Jul 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0600
Palmquist's last five outings: 1.2 IP (2 K), 0.1 IP (1 K), 3.0 IP (4 K), 1.0 IP, 1.0 IP. He is being managed on hard pitch limits — median outing under 2 innings. In two of his last three starts he recorded 2 K or fewer. Getting to 2 K requires him staying in long enough, which his pattern refutes. Under 1.5 at +106 has positive expected value.
Jul 10, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1600
Palmquist has been used as an opener/reliever hybrid in 2026, logging exactly 1.0 IP in each of his last three starts. At that workload ceiling, his Ks in those outings were 0, 3, and 1 — going under 1.5 in two of three appearances. His overall 2026 line of 7 K in 6.1 IP equals roughly 1.1 K per inning. Facing an NYY lineup that strikes out at an elevated rate, the 3K outing (Jul 4 vs PIT) shows the ceiling exists, but the base rate is under. At +116, the market misprices this — true under probability exceeds the 46.3% implied odds given the strict inning limit Palmquist operates under.
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What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SweeperSW | 42% | 73.9 | 31.0% | 0.298 | 79.7 | -12.6 | 1.0 | 1993 |
| SinkerSI | 33% | 90.6 | 7.0% | 0.350 | 87.8 | 16.5 | 4.7 | 2159 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 16% | 91.2 | 22.7% | 0.447 | 81.0 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 2162 |
| CutterFC | 10% | 82.0 | 26.7% | 0.329 | 71.5 | -2.5 | 4.9 | 1956 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Washington Nationals | 11 | 6 | 16.1 | 15 | 8 | 7.71 | 1.78 |
| 2025 · Colorado Rockies | 9 | 7 | 34.1 | 27 | 25 | 8.91 | 2.04 |
| Career | 20 | 13 | 50.2 | 42 | 33 | 8.53 | 1.95 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | 0.634 | 0.667 | 73.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-30 | 8 | 0.287 | 0.143 | 76.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-27 | 4 | 0.144 | 0.000 | 85.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-24 | 7 | 0.513 | 0.500 | 66.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-21 | 11 | 0.403 | 0.500 | 88.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-18 | 3 | 0.294 | 0.500 | 97.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-10 | 12 | 0.273 | 0.250 | 82.8 | 0.125 |
| 2026-07-07 | 3 | 0.311 | 0.000 | 85.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-04 | 8 | 0.297 | 0.571 | 76.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-01 | 5 | 0.212 | 0.400 | 88.2 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 78 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 52 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 48 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 51 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
