MLB icon
MLB Betting

Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every MLB game

TB · Pitcher

Casey Legumina

Throws R · 2026 player profile

MLB / P
Charts through 2026-09-27 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
ERA3.772026 · MLB season
Strikeouts552026 · MLB season
Innings71.22026 · MLB season
WHIP1.282026 · MLB season

Quality of contact allowed

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBA against
10-game rolling xwOBA against

2026-03-26 — 2026-09-27 · 55 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.

TB at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

Schedule needs an update.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Legumina

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Casey Legumina.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Casey Legumina under 1.5 strikeoutsW

Jul 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1800

Read original reasoning

Legumina's last three outings: 2 K (2.0 IP, Jul 23), 1 K (1.0 IP, Jul 20), 0 K (1.0 IP, Jul 18) — all under 2.5 innings, totaling 3 Ks in 4.0 IP. His recent pattern is short stints regardless of context. Even facing a Rangers lineup depleted by injuries (Seager, Jung, Jansen, Higashioka all on IL), reaching 2 Ks requires him to extend meaningfully beyond recent workloads. At +118 the under offers positive expected value if Legumina repeats his short-stint pattern. Six days of rest introduces uncertainty — the main risk to this pick.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

Inside the repertoire

What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.

The arsenal

PitchUsageVeloWhiff%xwOBAEVHMovVMovSpin
4-Seam FastballFF
43%
93.023.5%0.31089.4-14.613.42362
SinkerSI
22%
92.89.2%0.40783.7-18.28.92286
SliderSL
12%
84.924.6%0.28384.43.34.72586
ChangeupCH
12%
86.613.8%0.20285.7-15.40.11522
SweeperSW
11%
79.934.3%0.29386.011.36.92682

Contact allowed by location

83.717 BIP92.420 BIP87.26 BIP84.044 BIP92.235 BIP93.015 BIP87.013 BIP101.511 BIP86.116 BIP75.2High85.6Away73.6Low77.4InsideCatcher's perspective
73.6mph
101.5mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.

Season / teamGGSIPKBBERAWHIP
2026 · 55671.255193.771.28
2026 · Tampa Bay Rays47660.046163.601.23
2026 · Seattle Mariners8011.2934.631.54
2025 · Seattle Mariners48149.255255.621.45
2024 · Cincinnati Reds609.1728.681.82
2023 · Cincinnati Reds11012.21195.681.97
Career1207143.1128554.901.44
Recorded game dates 55 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-2750.3820.40093.20.000
2026-09-2340.2110.00089.00.000
2026-09-1880.1340.25084.70.000
2026-09-1740.5270.25085.60.250
2026-09-1370.5800.40084.90.250
2026-09-1020.4410.50073.50.000
2026-09-0660.3380.20084.90.000
2026-09-03140.2470.27392.10.000
2026-08-3140.2180.50090.30.000
2026-08-3040.1250.25092.10.000

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
Walk rate

Sample: 305 pa

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.

Barrel rate allowed

Sample: 223 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Exit velocity allowed

Sample: 209 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

BABIP allowed

Sample: 216 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.