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Throws R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-30 — 2026-05-14 · 10 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
May 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6100
Dollander's last 3 starts: 5K (5.2 IP), 3K (5.1 IP), 7K (7.0 IP) — averaging 5K per outing, under 5.5 in 2 of 3. His recent starts have featured shorter outings (5.1–5.2 IP), capping K accumulation. PIT lineup posts .725 OPS but doesn't profile as a high-strikeout unit. Market already leans under (-164), confirming the statistical direction.
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What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 38% | 98.9 | 29.7% | 0.285 | 91.7 | -11.6 | 13.0 | 2356 |
| SinkerSI | 24% | 98.2 | 15.4% | 0.344 | 86.2 | -17.1 | 6.0 | 2395 |
| SliderSL | 14% | 87.6 | 31.2% | 0.365 | 95.1 | 6.2 | -0.4 | 2709 |
| ChangeupCH | 11% | 90.5 | 31.4% | 0.314 | 85.9 | -13.9 | 3.3 | 1884 |
| CurveballCU | 8% | 79.8 | 45.0% | 0.255 | 84.7 | 14.5 | -8.4 | 2748 |
| SweeperSW | 5% | 85.7 | 36.4% | 0.060 | 99.6 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 2716 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Colorado Rockies | 10 | 3 | 44.0 | 47 | 18 | 3.89 | 1.30 |
| 2025 · Colorado Rockies | 21 | 21 | 98.0 | 82 | 49 | 6.52 | 1.55 |
| Career | 31 | 24 | 142.0 | 129 | 67 | 5.70 | 1.47 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 9 | 0.562 | 0.625 | 94.0 | 0.125 |
| 2026-05-08 | 24 | 0.377 | 0.158 | 83.0 | 0.071 |
| 2026-05-02 | 26 | 0.350 | 0.348 | 87.3 | 0.150 |
| 2026-04-26 | 26 | 0.270 | 0.208 | 92.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-21 | 24 | 0.202 | 0.143 | 88.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-16 | 19 | 0.200 | 0.062 | 83.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-12 | 3 | 0.413 | 0.500 | 82.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-09 | 20 | 0.262 | 0.222 | 93.4 | 0.125 |
| 2026-04-04 | 18 | 0.271 | 0.235 | 93.6 | 0.091 |
| 2026-03-30 | 19 | 0.401 | 0.294 | 94.7 | 0.333 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 189 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 121 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 111 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 115 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
