Chase Meidroth under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.5600
Read original reasoning
Career vs Lugo: 13 PA, .091 AVG, 0.174 OPS — one of the weakest BvP profiles on either side. His 2025 showing was 7 PA at 0.000 OPS. The 2026 split (6 PA, 0.450 OPS) shows minor improvement but is a small sample. Meidroth's season vR OPS of .665 confirms he is a below-average right-handed-pitcher matchup, making the Lugo suppression pattern credible beyond just sample noise. At +156, the market implies only 39.1% probability — the career BvP skews this further toward under.
Chase Meidroth under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 16, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4600
Read original reasoning
Career vs Parker Messick: 12 PA, .167 AVG. In 2026 specifically: 9 PA, 0.333 OPS — one of the weakest BvP records on the CHW roster. Despite a strong season vL OPS of 0.975, the 12-PA career sample vs Messick clearly establishes he struggles with this specific pitcher's stuff. Under 0.5 hits at +146 has genuine edge over the market's implied 59.4% over.
Chase Meidroth under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 10, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1200
Read original reasoning
Meidroth is in a deep cold stretch: L7d OPS 0.504, L28d OPS 0.606. His season split vs RHP is only 0.669 OPS and Jones is a RHP who averages 10.52 K/9. Meidroth's profile — below-average contact vs righties, currently ice cold — makes him a strong under candidate at +112 value against a true strikeout arm.
