May 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6300
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Petty's 2025 MLB outings lasted 0.2 IP (0 K), 3.0 IP (4 K), and 2.1 IP (3 K) — averaging 2.3 Ks across abbreviated, chaotic starts. Now making his 2026 MLB season debut on the road at Wrigley against a Cubs lineup hitting .261 with a 5.4 R/G pace. His control is the primary issue: 8 BB in 6 IP historically means high pitch counts that force early hooks before he can accumulate Ks. Under 3.5 is heavily implied by the market (-159) but the underlying case is overwhelming — his outings rarely go deep enough to threaten 4 Ks.