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Throws R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-04-17 — 2026-06-09 · 5 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 2 past picks from 2 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Jun 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8400
Crow has only 8 K in 14.1 IP (5.04 K/9) in 2026 — one of the lowest rates among starters. Last 3 outings: 1K, 3K, 4K (avg 2.67 per start). None of his three 2026 starts exceeded 4 Ks. SF Giants team K/9 allowed is 7.98, near league average — no elite strikeout lineup to inflate his total. Under 3.5 at -119 is well-supported by his actual per-start outputs.
May 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2400
Crow has only 7 K in 10.1 IP (6.1 K/9) across his two 2026 starts — totaling 3 K and 4 K respectively. His K rate is well below average and he induces contact rather than swings-and-misses. HOU's lineup includes Yordan Alvarez (.307 BA), Christian Walker (.255, 15 HR), and Jeremy Peña (.256), none of whom have career matchup data against Crow but represent an experienced lineup. At +124, getting the under on a pitcher who has cleared 3.5 Ks in only one of two starts is reasonable value.
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What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CutterFC | 36% | 87.4 | 22.2% | 0.390 | 92.5 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 2867 |
| CurveballCU | 21% | 74.1 | 21.9% | 0.289 | 89.4 | 17.5 | -14.6 | 2953 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 18% | 91.3 | 12.0% | 0.346 | 84.9 | -7.5 | 14.1 | 2580 |
| SinkerSI | 17% | 91.3 | 7.4% | 0.360 | 91.7 | -14.2 | 8.1 | 2510 |
| SweeperSW | 8% | 79.1 | 6.7% | 0.257 | 83.1 | 21.3 | 2.0 | 2982 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Milwaukee Brewers | 5 | 4 | 18.2 | 10 | 6 | 5.30 | 1.45 |
| Career | 5 | 4 | 18.2 | 10 | 6 | 5.30 | 1.45 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | 8 | 0.118 | 0.111 | 88.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-06-04 | 18 | 0.408 | 0.562 | 93.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-29 | 18 | 0.485 | 0.267 | 88.2 | 0.200 |
| 2026-05-15 | 19 | 0.239 | 0.158 | 87.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-17 | 21 | 0.334 | 0.211 | 88.5 | 0.125 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 85 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 68 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 60 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 66 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
