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Bats L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-26 — 2026-09-19 · 138 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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No saved upcoming picks for Colt Keith.
Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 19 past picks from 19 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Sep 9, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.4900
Career vs Zebby Matthews: 9 PA, .571 AVG, 1.953 OPS, 1 HR. The 2026 split is even stronger: 3 PA, 2.334 OPS. Keith has punished Matthews in every career exposure — the dominant BvP edge in this matchup. His season slash of .257/.318/.396 shows consistent contact ability, but the matchup edge here is exceptional and carries the primary weight.
Aug 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3400
Keith is 0-for-5 (.000 AVG, 0.200 OPS) in 5 2026 PA vs Bradley — note small sample. His last 7 days show a .143 OPS, compounding the cold streak. Under 0.5 total bases at +134 offers value over implied 42.7% probability when the BvP trend and recent form both point down. Low confidence given the small PA sample, but the price and dual-slump angle make it worth a small play.
Aug 11, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4200
Keith is in decent form (L28d OPS 0.958, L7d 0.856) so season context favors a hit. But in 2026 vs Bibee specifically: 7 PA, 0.000 OPS — no hits across their current-year matchups despite 21 total career PA. Career line is a modest .250/.686. The market offers +142 on the under, providing value relative to his recent form given the BvP suppression signal. Low confidence due to his strong current form conflicting with the 2026 BvP data.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Detroit Tigers | 140 | 423 | 99 | 10 | 36 | .258 | .322 | .406 | .728 |
| 2025 · Detroit Tigers | 137 | 468 | 106 | 13 | 45 | .256 | .333 | .413 | .746 |
| 2024 · Detroit Tigers | 148 | 556 | 134 | 13 | 61 | .260 | .309 | .380 | .689 |
| Career | 425 | 1447 | 339 | 36 | 142 | .258 | .321 | .398 | .719 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | 0.011 | 0.000 | 80.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-18 | 2 | 0.032 | 0.500 | 73.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-17 | 1 | 0.698 | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-16 | 2 | 0.536 | 1.000 | 70.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5 | 0.377 | 0.250 | 90.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | 0.454 | 0.333 | 97.3 | 0.333 |
| 2026-09-11 | 2 | 0.096 | 0.000 | 99.6 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-09 | 3 | 0.390 | 0.333 | 83.1 | 0.500 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2 | 0.429 | 0.000 | 62.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-07 | 3 | 0.243 | 0.000 | — | — |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 423 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 302 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 302 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 302 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 423 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 423 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
