Apr 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9200
Read original reasoning
Gordon's 2025 K/9 was 7.53 overall, but his last 3 starts produced just 3K (5.0 IP), 1K (1.0 IP), and 1K (3.0 IP) — a steep K-rate decline. This is his 2026 season opener with no track record to override recent poor K form. The outs line (15.5, market at -149 Under) signals expectation of a short outing, further limiting K accumulation. Averaging ~1 K per inning recently, he'd need 5+ clean innings to clear 4.5.