Connor Norby under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.7200
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Norby is 1-for-8 (.125 AVG, 0.472 OPS) in 9 career PA vs Rodriguez, with 2025 specifically producing a 0.167 OPS across 6 PA — the bulk of meaningful sample. Norby's platoon splits are nearly identical vR (.710) and vL (.715) so the LHP angle offers no boost. Season average .240 is below average and his L28d .759 OPS is moderate. Market at +172 (36.8% implied under) represents value given the career contact suppression.
Connor Norby under 0.5 hitsL
Aug 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2600
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Norby is 0-for-4 career vs Alvarez — 0-for-2 in 2025 (0.500 OPS via walks/no hits) and 0-for-2 in 2026 (0.500 OPS). Small sample acknowledged, but the pattern is consistent: no hits across two separate seasons facing this LHP. Norby's season AVG of .217 with a weak .349 OBP reinforces a poor contact profile. Market prices the under at +126, offering real value on a hitter who has yet to record a hit vs Alvarez.
Connor Norby under 0.5 hitsW
Aug 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0000
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Norby is 0-for-6 career vs Roupp (all in 2026) — the most current and relevant matchup data available. This is not a stale sample from years past; it's from this season, making it highly predictive. Norby is also a weak hitter overall at .200/.313/.317 (240 PA). Under 0.5 hits at +100 represents genuine value — the market is pricing this as a coin flip despite a 0-for-6 career matchup and a below-average BA. Roupp's season strikeout rate (123 K in 123.2 IP) further supports his ability to suppress weaker bats.
