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Bats R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-31 — 2026-07-27 · 88 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 3 past picks from 3 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Jul 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0000
Mead is hitting .254/.352/.500 with 17 HR and his L28d OPS is 1.053 — among the hottest in the BOS lineup recently. His vR OPS is 0.817 vs the right-handed Perkins. At +100 (50% implied), this is slight value for a slugger in strong form against a pitcher with a 6.75 ERA. No career BvP data available, so uncertainty keeps this at LOW confidence, but the price is fair for the profile.
Jul 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8300
Mead is scorching with a 1.600 OPS over the last 7 days, .513 SLG on the season, and 17 HR with a .874 OPS vs LHP. Lopez's 6.83 ERA and 1.79 HR/9 make him a prime extra-base target. Mead's career vs Lopez sample is only 2 PA (small sample), but his current form and Lopez's vulnerability to power bats supports over 1.5 TB. At -120, the juice is manageable given Mead's elite L7d production.
Jun 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.5800
Mead is 0-for-5 career vs Sánchez with a 0.000 OPS across 2025 (2 PA) and 2026 (3 PA) — he has never reached base against this pitcher. News intel confirms Mead is part of the Nats' 'down to earth' June cohort after a hot start, with his June slump documented by Action Network. Sánchez's 10.4 K/9 in 2026 and dominant control profile make Mead a strong under target at +158.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · | 88 | 329 | 72 | 17 | 48 | .253 | .353 | .498 | .851 |
| 2026 · Boston Red Sox | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .500 | .000 | .500 |
| 2026 · Washington Nationals | 87 | 327 | 72 | 17 | 48 | .254 | .352 | .500 | .852 |
| 2025 · | 90 | 264 | 56 | 3 | 19 | .233 | .299 | .321 | .620 |
| 2025 · Chicago White Sox | 41 | 132 | 30 | 0 | 11 | .240 | .280 | .304 | .584 |
| 2025 · Tampa Bay Rays | 49 | 132 | 26 | 3 | 8 | .226 | .318 | .339 | .657 |
| 2024 · Tampa Bay Rays | 38 | 132 | 29 | 1 | 7 | .238 | .282 | .287 | .569 |
| 2023 · Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 5 | .253 | .326 | .349 | .675 |
| Career | 240 | 817 | 178 | 22 | 79 | .244 | .321 | .388 | .709 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | 2 | 0.364 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-07-25 | 5 | 0.333 | 0.000 | 79.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-24 | 4 | 0.358 | 0.000 | 84.6 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-21 | 4 | 0.086 | 0.000 | 94.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-20 | 5 | 0.324 | 0.600 | 96.9 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-19 | 5 | 0.399 | 0.333 | 80.9 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | 6 | 0.335 | 0.667 | 95.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-07-12 | 2 | 0.804 | 0.500 | 81.2 | 0.500 |
| 2026-07-11 | 4 | 0.561 | 0.667 | 84.4 | 0.333 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 329 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 222 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 222 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 222 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 329 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 329 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
