Daulton Varsho under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
Read original reasoning
Varsho is 1-for-9 (.111 AVG, 0.311 OPS) in 10 career PA against Peralta. More tellingly, his two most recent seasons against Peralta show a worsening trend: 0.000 OPS in 2025 (2 PA) and 0.000 OPS in 2026 (3 PA). Season average is .226 with a .654 OPS vs RHP — below average contact across the board. Peralta's 8.35 K/9 suppresses contact, and the BvP history here is consistently weak with no cherry-picking required. +110 on the under provides genuine edge given the implied 47.6% probability vs. a stronger true likelihood of failure.
Daulton Varsho under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 10, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1400
Read original reasoning
Varsho is 1-for-12 (.100 AVG, 0.282 OPS) in 12 career PA vs Wheeler across three seasons (2021, 2022, 2023). Consistent suppression across all three years: 0.000 OPS in 2021, 0.666 in 2022, 0.167 in 2023. Wheeler's 10.76 K/9 is particularly punishing against hitters with low BvP contact. Varsho's season OPS of .661 is mediocre, and his L28d .652 OPS shows no recent surge. Under at +114 offers plus-money on a player who historically struggles badly against this pitcher.
Daulton Varsho under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4400
Read original reasoning
Varsho is 1-for-15 (.067 AVG, 0.258 OPS) in 16 career PA vs Castillo. His year-by-year: 2023 (0.000 OPS), 2024 (0.333 OPS), 2025 (0.000 OPS), 2026 (0.000 OPS, 3 PA). Remarkably consistent futility against this pitcher. His season OPS is .653 vRHP so it's matchup-specific. The market only prices the under at +144 (41% implied), undervaluing what the career data shows. At his .067 career AVG vs Castillo, the under 0.5 hits is the statistical play.
