David Fry

Fry is 0-for-6 in career plate appearances against Connor Prielipp — all in 2026, making this the most current and relevant matchup sample available. His season slash of .189/.306/.333 gives him a low independent floor, and Prielipp has struck out batters at a 9.67 K/9 clip while notching 6 Ks in each of his two prior CLE starts (May 08 and Jul 08). While 6 PA is a small sample, the direction is unambiguous: Fry has zero hits against this pitcher in their only meaningful head-to-head. Under 0.5 hits at -152 reflects a legitimate and current matchup disadvantage.

Fry is 7 career PA vs Rogers at .333 AVG, 1.262 OPS, and 1 HR. In 2026: 3 PA, 1.167 OPS — he has been producing in the current matchup. Rogers is a LHP and Fry hits .700 OPS vs RHP but his BvP edge here is confirmed across multiple seasons. Rogers has allowed 16 HR in 2026 and his 4.30 ERA reflects consistent contact allowed. Over 0.5 total bases is supported by the career matchup data and Fry's recent L7d OPS of 0.819.