David Hamilton

Career vs Gausman: 10 PA, .200 AVG, 0.400 OPS. Crucially, his two most recent year-segments vs Gausman are both 0.000 OPS: 2025 (3 PA, 0.000 OPS) and 2026 (2 PA, 0.000 OPS). The trend is clear — Gausman has actively neutralized Hamilton in recent matchups. Season stats are modest (.241 AVG, 0.646 OPS vs RHP). Under at +102 is near-even money, but the data edge from repeated recent failures vs Gausman — combined with Hamilton's below-average season production — provides a marginal statistical lean for the under.

Hamilton is 0-for-3 with a 0.000 OPS in his only career plate appearances against Yamamoto (2026 sample). His season OPS vs RHP is .663, already below average, and his .232 AVG ranks among the weaker bats in the MIL lineup. Yamamoto is a 2.65 ERA elite RHP with 127 Ks in 139.1 IP this season. Under 0.5 hits at -143 is market consensus, and the BvP shutout confirms the lean.