Dean Kremer over 4.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8000
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Kremer's most recent start vs LAA (Sep 20) produced 8 Ks over 6.0 IP. The start before that yielded 5 Ks vs NYY. His 2026 pace of 82 K in 83.1 IP translates to roughly 8.86 K/9. He comes in on extended 7-day rest with full stuff. TEX strikes out at a league-average rate and Kremer's last two outings trend toward the over. The prior start (3 Ks vs DET) keeps this at MEDIUM, but the trajectory is up.
Dean Kremer under 5.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 20, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9400
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Kremer's last three starts: 5K in 5.2 IP, 3K in 5.0 IP, 5K in 4.0 IP — averaging 4.3 Ks, all under 5.5. His 2026 ERA has ballooned to 5.35 and his outings have been short (none deeper than 5.2 IP in L3). While LAA leads MLB with 1,468 strikeouts as a batting team which creates K upside, Kremer's recent inability to pitch deep games caps his total. His only strong LAA outing was a 10K game in April 2024 — a clear outlier versus current form.
Dean Kremer under 4.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9200
Read original reasoning
Kremer's last three starts: 3 K (4.0 IP), 5 K (4.0 IP), 3 K (5.0 IP). He is averaging roughly 3-5 IP over that stretch with a 5.65 ERA in 2026 — he is getting hit and pulled early. At that workload, crossing 4.5 Ks requires both sustained efficiency and innings he is not currently delivering. Even his best recent outing (5 K in 4.0 IP) only tied the line. NYY lineup features Rice, García Jr., and Bellinger — contact threats who can force early counts. Under 4.5 at -109 is fair value given the short-outing trend.
