Drew Anderson under 4.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9300
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Anderson's season K/9 is 9.62 across 102.0 IP (109 K), but his last 3 starts tell the real story: 4 K (5.0 IP), 4 K (5.1 IP), 5 K (5.2 IP) — averaging 4.3 Ks across an average of 5.1 IP per outing. Two of three recent starts came in under the 4.5 line. His recent innings-pitched ceiling is limiting his K upside, and with 7 days extended rest there's some variance on sharpness. Market prices Under at -108, nearly even money, but recent form gives a lean to the under.
Drew Anderson over 3.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6800
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Anderson's season K/9 sits at 9.74 (105 K in 97.0 IP). Last 3 starts: 4 K (5.1 IP), 5 K (5.2 IP), 5 K (4.2 IP) — cleared 3.5 in all three. Coming off 7 days rest, which historically correlates with sharper stuff and deeper outings. His lone TOR start (May 15, 2026) yielded only 1 K in 4 IP — a drag on confidence — but that's a single-game sample. TOR is 52-55 vs RHP this season and the projected game script (Tigers ML favorite, moderate total) keeps the game competitive, supporting Anderson pitching into the 5th-6th. The under side is priced at +104 implying near-coin-flip — the market undervalues his 3-start trend.
Drew Anderson under 4.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 28, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8100
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Anderson's last 3 starts: 4 K in 5.0 IP, 5 K in 5.0 IP, 4 K in 4.0 IP. He has not eclipsed 5.0 IP in any of those outings, hard-capping his K ceiling at 4-5 per start. LAD's offense sits at .258 AVG and .759 OPS — a lineup that makes contact, shortens at-bats, and has the runway to chase him early. Under 4.5 at -123 is well-supported by his recent work pattern and the quality of opposition.
