Emmet Sheehan over 5.5 strikeoutsV
Sep 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9800
Read original reasoning
Sheehan's 2026 K/9 is 10.51 (118 K in 101 IP), one of the best rates in the league. Last start he punched out 10 in 5.2 IP vs CIN. The Marlins lineup features several strikeout-prone bats — MIA pitching staff posts 8.23 K/9 and their lineup carries a .249 team AVG. No career BvP data exists for any MIA hitter vs Sheehan, suggesting limited familiarity that tends to favor the pitcher. Over 5.5 at -102 is near even money for a pitcher whose season profile says 6+ Ks is the median outcome when he gets through 5 innings. Risk: his BOS start was just 2.2 IP — short outing caps upside.
Emmet Sheehan over 5.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 2, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8300
Read original reasoning
Sheehan's 2026 K/9 is 10.14 (104 K in 92.2 IP) — elite strikeout rate. Last 3 starts: 7 K (Jul 12), 6 K (Jul 20), 5 K (Jul 26) — two of three over the 5.5 line. BOS lineup is below-average with .244 AVG and .709 OPS. Seven days extended rest keeps stuff sharp. Risk: recent outings limited to 5.0–5.1 IP, which caps the ceiling if he's pulled early; trending slightly downward in K volume over last three starts.
Emmet Sheehan over 5.5 strikeoutsV
Jul 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7600
Read original reasoning
Sheehan is running a 10.17 K/9 in 2026 (99 K in 87.2 IP). Last 3 starts: 6 K (5.1 IP), 7 K (5.1 IP), 5 K (4.1 IP) — 2 of 3 over the line, averaging 6.0 Ks per outing. Facing a NYM lineup that is without Juan Soto (calf injury, MRI pending), removing their most dangerous bat. NYM team OPS is just .684 and they rank among the weaker offensive units in the NL. Favorable weather (70s, 5-9 mph wind toward 3B) aids pitcher command. Line is priced at -132 (56.8% implied) — reasonable price for a high-K starter against a depleted lineup.