Eugenio Suárez under 0.5 hitsV
Sep 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9600
Read original reasoning
Career vs Scherzer: 20 PA, .158 AVG (roughly 3 hits in 20 PA) across 5 different seasons (2015, 2017, 2018, 2021, 2022). While the matchup data spans several years, the consistent pattern of weak production — including 0.000 OPS in 2015 and 0.333 OPS in 2017 — signals Scherzer's style matches up poorly against Suárez. His 2026 season BA is .212, compounding the concern. Under at -104 offers slight value given the career matchup signal and below-average season contact rate.
Eugenio Suárez under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8600
Read original reasoning
Career vs Sale: 17 PA, .000 AVG, 0.118 OPS — zero hits across all matchup years. In 2024: 4 PA, 0.000 OPS. In 2025: 8 PA, 0.125 OPS. This is a sustained pattern, not a small-sample anomaly. Sale's 2.18 ERA and elite command (31 BB in 157 IP) against a DH hitting .210 with a .429 career SLG is a dominant mismatch. Under prediction for the game reinforces limited run-scoring opportunities for CIN, and Suárez hitting in the middle of a weak lineup will see Sale's best stuff in high-leverage counts.
Eugenio Suárez under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200
Read original reasoning
Career vs Boyd: 17 PA (largest sample of any CIN batter vs Boyd), .133 AVG, 0.576 OPS — chronic suppression across multiple seasons (2018, 2020, 2021, 2023, 2025 all below 0.500 OPS). Note: 2026 shows 3 PA at 1.666 OPS — small sample, likely an outlier. The career weight across 17 PA is decisive. Season average of .211 adds further context. +122 on the under is reasonable value.
