Eury Pérez under 5.5 strikeoutsV
Sep 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7000
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Pérez's last three starts: 5 K (4.0 IP), 3 K (4.2 IP), 5 K (3.0 IP). He has been pulled before the 5th inning in each of those outings while allowing 5, 6, and 5 ER respectively. At a pace of 3–4.2 IP per start, reaching 6 Ks becomes a ceiling problem regardless of his season K/9 of 9.70. The Outs prop line is also set at 15.5 (5.1 IP) — consistent with the market pricing in a short outing. Under 5.5 at -143 reflects the innings-cap reality of his recent form.
Eury Pérez under 4.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 2, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
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Pérez's 9.78 K/9 season rate is legitimate, but outing length is the critical risk factor. Last start: 3.0 IP, 5 ER, 4 BB — he was pulled early and managed only 5 Ks in 3 innings. Prior two starts: 4 K (5 IP) and 5 K (6 IP). His return from a thigh strain puts him on a pitch count. If he repeats a short outing, reaching 4.5 Ks becomes very difficult. KC's lineup is league-average vs RHP (49-48) and not a high-K team (team K/9 of 7.44). At +108, the under offers plus-money on a coin-flip line with meaningful downside risk from early exit.
Eury Pérez over 5.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 28, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7000
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Pérez carries a 9.7 K/9 rate across 127.2 innings with opponents batting just .199. Last 3 starts: 4K (5.0 IP vs WSH Aug 22), 5K (6.0 IP vs CIN), 7K (7.0 IP vs PIT) — averaging 5.3 Ks per start. The line at 5.5 is close, but WSH is 40-54 vs RHP this season and Pérez's season rate projects to ~6.4 Ks over a full 6-inning outing. He has 6-day rest and faces a lineup he struck out 7 times total across his last two starts against them (5.0 IP Aug 22 plus 5.2 IP Sep 2025). At 6 days rest, outing length should extend toward 6 IP which pushes K ceiling above the line.
