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Throws L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-26 — 2026-09-30 · 7 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 4 past picks from 4 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Apr 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9100
Crochet's 2026 K rate is 11.25 K/9 (30 K in 24 IP). Last meaningful start: 8 Ks in 5 IP vs DET. Career vs BAL: 7K, 8K, 11K in three starts — consistently punishes this lineup. Market line of 7.5 is near-even (-110), indicating the market itself is uncertain, providing value on the over given elite strikeout stuff and favorable historical matchup vs this Baltimore order.
Apr 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
Crochet is averaging approximately 11.4 K/9 in 2026 with 22 K over 17.1 IP. Last 3 starts: 8K (6.0 IP), 7K (5.0 IP), 7K (6.1 IP) — he has hit or exceeded 7.5 in 1 of 3 and has gone 7 in two others. Previous appearances vs MIN include a 6K and 7K outing. MIN is a depleted roster (Lewis, Lopez on IL) with likely weaker lineup depth. At -110 juice, the over offers marginal value relative to his demonstrated K ceiling. Caveat: his 0-1 record at Target Field with a 3.95 ERA historically suggests some site-specific variance, and he must work deep enough in the game.
Apr 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
Crochet posted 11.22 K/9 in 2025 (266 K in 213 IP) and struck out 8 in 6 IP in his 2026 debut (0.00 ERA). Last 3 starts: 8, 11, 6 Ks — average of 8.3. Line of 7.5 at -109 (52.1% implied) undervalues him. Notable matchup edge: Yainer Diaz is 0-for-7 lifetime vs Crochet (0.143 OPS). Extended rest (6 days) supports deeper outing and higher K ceiling. HOU lineup is hot but Crochet's 2024 outings vs Houston produced 9K (4 IP) and 8K (6 IP).
Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.
Market snapshot unavailable.
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 33% | 95.8 | 25.3% | 0.319 | 89.7 | 8.2 | 16.4 | 2386 |
| CutterFC | 25% | 90.9 | 21.3% | 0.392 | 91.6 | -3.0 | 6.7 | 2622 |
| SinkerSI | 23% | 95.3 | 21.6% | 0.386 | 80.3 | 16.3 | 8.3 | 2365 |
| SweeperSW | 14% | 83.4 | 27.0% | 0.266 | 95.3 | -13.8 | -1.2 | 2426 |
| ChangeupCH | 4% | 88.2 | 62.5% | 0.000 | — | 12.9 | 5.9 | 1819 |
| Split-FingerFS | 1% | 84.9 | — | — | — | 8.7 | 1.1 | 937 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Boston Red Sox | 6 | 6 | 30.0 | 37 | 11 | 6.30 | 1.47 |
| 2025 · Boston Red Sox | 32 | 32 | 205.1 | 255 | 46 | 2.59 | 1.03 |
| 2024 · Chicago White Sox | 32 | 32 | 146.0 | 209 | 33 | 3.58 | 1.07 |
| 2023 · Chicago White Sox | 13 | 0 | 12.2 | 12 | 13 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
| 2021 · Chicago White Sox | 54 | 0 | 54.1 | 65 | 27 | 2.82 | 1.27 |
| 2020 · Chicago White Sox | 5 | 0 | 6.0 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Career | 142 | 70 | 454.1 | 586 | 130 | 3.17 | 1.12 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 4 | 0.389 | 0.750 | 76.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-25 | 22 | 0.242 | 0.150 | 89.3 | 0.077 |
| 2026-04-19 | 24 | 0.382 | 0.318 | 93.5 | 0.143 |
| 2026-04-13 | 18 | 0.574 | 0.643 | 90.4 | 0.214 |
| 2026-04-07 | 26 | 0.274 | 0.217 | 80.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-01 | 23 | 0.378 | 0.286 | 91.7 | 0.143 |
| 2026-03-26 | 22 | 0.268 | 0.136 | 90.4 | 0.071 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 138 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 86 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 85 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 84 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
