Garrett Mitchell

2026 vs Buehler: 3 PA, 1.167 OPS — the most recent matchup data shows Mitchell making contact (small sample, note caveat). Career 5 PA, .333 AVG. Season .262/.354/.416 with solid plate discipline. MIL starter is TBD and likely a bullpen-heavy approach (series Game 4, Brewers SP has no confirmed name), meaning Mitchell also sees non-Buehler arms. Market at -149 (59.9% implied) is fairly priced, but 2026 BvP trend and lineup durability support over as the directionally correct side.

Mitchell is the hottest bat in this game: .562/.611/.875 over his last 6 games per news intel, with an L7d OPS of 1.329. Against Manaea (LHP), his 1 career PA produced a 3.000 OPS — tiny sample but directionally positive. Mitchell's season line of .264/.359/.420 with a .780 vR OPS shows he handles right-handed pitching well, and Manaea is a lefty, meaning this is a favorable platoon spot. Manaea's 4.31 ERA and 1.30 WHIP season indicate contact-permissive outings. At -149 the market price is fair for the current form trajectory.

Mitchell is 0-for-5 (.000 AVG, 0.400 OPS) in career PA vs Roupp across three seasons — no hits in five tries. His L7d OPS is 0.167, a significant cold stretch. Season vs RHP is 0.837 but recent form and the career hitless streak vs today's starter make the under compelling at +118. The positive odds offer real value against a matchup where the data clearly points hitless.