Market unavailableL
Jul 5, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
Read original reasoning
Career vs Sheehan: 6 PA, .000 AVG, 0.167 OPS, 0 HR. Broken down: 2025 (2 PA) 0.000 OPS, 2026 (4 PA) 0.250 OPS — hitless across both seasons despite a marginal 2026 OPS improvement. Sheets is 0-for-5+ in AB against Sheehan. Season average of .236 is already weak, and SD sits on an 8-game losing streak with a team .673 OPS (MLB-worst). Market implies 48.1% probability; BvP history makes that a significant overestimate. Best value play on the board at +108.
Market unavailableL
Jun 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 5.8000
Read original reasoning
Sheets carries a .446 SLG and 12 HR on the season, and his vR OPS of .826 — the highest platoon split on the SD roster — makes him a legitimate power threat against RHP Ritchie. At +480 (17.2% implied), this is a speculative value play. Note that Petco Park HR factor is 0.88, which suppresses long-ball probability. No career BvP data available vs Ritchie. This is a value-price play on the best right-handed power bat San Diego runs out vs a RHP, not a high-conviction statistical edge.
Market unavailableL
Jun 10, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2400
Read original reasoning
Sheets is 4-for-26 (.154 AVG, 0.539 OPS) in 26 career PA vs Brady Singer — a meaningful sample with only 2 career hits. Year-by-year: 2021 (0.000 OPS/3 PA), 2022 (0.714/7 PA), 2023 (0.222/9 PA), 2024 (1.000/2 PA — small sample). The multi-year career average of .154 is the dominant signal. Sheets is also cold this season (.223 BA, L7d 0.262 OPS). Under at +124 offers value vs the implied 44.6% probability.
