Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 total basesL
Sep 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3800
Read original reasoning
Career vs Scherzer: 11 PA, .400 AVG, 0.955 OPS — a meaningful sample for a young hitter. L7d OPS 1.031 marks Henderson as the hottest bat in this lineup right now. Season SLG .408 with 24 HR supports extra-base upside, and Camden Yards HR factor of 1.06 adds a modest boost. At +138 (42.0%) the market is underestimating a player who has hit Scherzer well historically and enters this game scorching hot.
Gunnar Henderson to hit a home runL
Aug 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 4.0000
Read original reasoning
Henderson's L7d OPS of 1.141 signals he is locked in at the plate right now (L28d 0.856 as well). He has 22 HR in 610 PA with a .408 SLG. Coors Field HR factor of 1.2 inflates all power, and Gordon has allowed 17 HR in 83.2 IP in 2026. No career BvP data, but the combination of recent hot streak and extreme park environment gives this anytime HR a live look at +300.
Gunnar Henderson under 0.5 hitsV
Aug 28, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.5600
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Henderson is in a significant slump: .219 season AVG, L7d OPS of just 0.439, and an overall vR OPS of 0.688 — below average against right-handed pitching. Facing Jacob Lopez (no 2026 stats available), Henderson's own cold form is the primary signal. Under 0.5 hits at +156 offers plus-money value on a batter who has been one of the worst producers in the BAL lineup over the past week.
