Hunter Goodman under 0.5 hitsL
Sep 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.6400
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Goodman is 1-for-16 (.063 AVG, 0.181 OPS) in 17 career PA vs Rodriguez — one of the worst active matchups in this data set. Year-over-year he has shown 0.000 OPS (2024, 5 PA), 0.167 OPS (2025, 6 PA), 0.334 OPS (2026, 6 PA) — still historically suppressed even with a slight trend. Rodriguez's LHP angle does not help Goodman (.831 OPS vR vs .844 OPS vL, essentially neutral splits). Market offers +164, implying only 37.9% under probability — a significant discount on what the 17-PA career sample clearly suggests.
Hunter Goodman to hit a home runL
Sep 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 3.7000
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Goodman leads the Rockies with 39 HR this season, posting a .524 SLG and .828 OPS vs RHP. Coors Field HR park factor 1.20 is the best in baseball for power. Mason Adams owns a 5.09 ERA and has allowed 6 HR in just 23.0 IP (2.35 HR/9) — a rate that screams home run vulnerability. At +270 (implied 27%), a 39-HR slugger in the most HR-friendly park in the league facing a shaky rookie is live value, though outcome variance on anytime HR markets warrants LOW confidence.
Hunter Goodman under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.6200
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Career vs Soroka: 12 PA, .100 AVG, 0.350 OPS, 0 HR — 1-for-10 in meaningful exposure. Breakdown by year: 0.000 OPS (2024, 1 PA), 0.000 OPS (2025, 3 PA), 0.542 OPS (2026, 8 PA). Even his best recent season segment is mediocre. Soroka's 2026 ERA is 3.45 with an 8.7 K/9 — he misses bats consistently. Goodman carries a .245 season AVG and while his 39 HR are impressive, Soroka has repeatedly limited him to weak contact. Under 0.5 at +162 is genuine value against a career .100 hitter in this specific matchup.
