Hurston Waldrep under 4.5 strikeoutsW
Jul 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7900
Read original reasoning
Waldrep's 2026 K rate is 8.59 K/9 (7 K in 7.1 IP), consistent with his 2025 rate of 8.78 K/9. Last three outings: 4 K (5.1 IP), 3 K (2.0 IP), 5 K (6.0 IP) — went under 4.5 in two of three. His walk rate is alarming: 5 BB in 7.1 IP (6.13 BB/9), meaning he's issuing free passes rather than pitching to contact and Ks. Outs market (14.5 outs over at -182) implies ~5 innings; at 8.59 K/9 over 5 innings, expected Ks = ~4.7 — barely above the line. With his control issues likely limiting hitter strikeout sequences, the under at -127 is the sharper side. PIT lineup (.262 AVG, .762 OPS) makes enough contact to keep Waldrep K totals in check.
