Market unavailableW
Jun 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5900
Read original reasoning
Kochanowicz has averaged just 4 K per start in 2026 with 46 K in 63.2 IP (6.5 K/9). Last 3 starts: 1 K (2.1 IP), 4 K (4.0 IP), 7 K (6.0 IP). The recent pattern of early exits is the dominant signal — he walked 4 batters in just 2.1 IP in his last start, and LAD's lineup (5.2 R/G, .783 OPS) routinely chases him. His May 15 start vs LAD: 6 ER in 6.0 IP with only 4 K despite going deep. Early hook = insufficient K volume. Market prices Under at -169/62.9% implied, which is fair given this trajectory.
Market unavailableV
May 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1400
Read original reasoning
Kochanowicz K/9 of 6.6 in 2026 (45 K in 61.1 IP). Last 3 starts: 4K, 7K, 4K — avg 5.0 Ks per outing. The 3.5 line is below his average and his floor. TB's lineup (.260 AVG, .726 OPS) makes contact but Kochanowicz's walks (31 BB in 61.1 IP) keep him working deep into counts, generating strikeout opportunities. At +114 this is clear positive-value given his K average sits well above the line.
Market unavailableL
May 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9800
Read original reasoning
Career vs DET: 2 total Ks in 8 IP (May 04 2025: 1K in 5 IP; Aug 10 2025: 1K in 3 IP). Detroit is by far his worst strikeout matchup. His 2026 K rate is 41 Ks in 57.1 IP (~6.44 K/9) overall, but DET-specific history tells a different story. The under at -102 near even money is strong value given this specific matchup record.
