Market unavailableW
Jun 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7700
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Leiter's last two outings were dismal: 3 K in 5 IP vs Boston (Jun 12) and 2 K in 4.2 IP vs Cleveland (Jun 6). His only strong K outing recently was 10 K vs KC (May 31), which now looks like an outlier. Career vs MIN (Jun 11 2025): only 3 K in 4 IP. Minnesota's lineup is on a 3-game win streak with a hot Buxton (.601 SLG, 6 HR in L10) and a resurgent Royce Lewis (.324 in last 10 games). Leiter is sitting at 4.86 ERA in 2026 with 33 BB in 76 IP — command issues limit his ability to pile up Ks when his stuff isn't at its best. Two of his last three starts produced under 5.5 Ks. Fade the strikeout rate here.
Market unavailableL
Jun 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1600
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Leiter's 2026 K rate: 74 K in 66.1 IP (~10.1 K/9). Last start vs KC: 10 Ks in 5.2 IP. Two prior starts vs CLE in 2025: 10 K each (Sep 26 and Aug 23). CLE batters are historically dominated — Ramírez 0-for-8, Kwan 0-for-6, Schneemann 0-for-6 career vs Leiter. Six days rest on a sharp arm. Market line of 5.5 is low given his recent output and CLE's established futility vs him.
Market unavailableW
May 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6000
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Leiter's 2026 K/9 is 9.51 (64 K in 60.2 IP), well above the 4.5 line. Last 3 starts: 4, 5, 6 Ks — two of three cleared this mark. KC lineup is one of the weakest in the AL at .234 AVG and .682 OPS (58 GP). While his ERA is a volatile 4.75, his strikeout rate has remained consistent. Globe Life Field's retractable roof and pitcher lean provide a neutral-to-favorable environment for Ks.
