Jackson Jobe over 4.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6000
Read original reasoning
Jobe has posted 9K (6.0 IP, Sept 19), 8K (6.1 IP, Sept 13), and 7K (5.0 IP, Sept 6) in his last three starts — a streak that places his floor comfortably above the 4.5 line. His 2026 K/9 is 9.51 (43 K in 40.2 IP). He enters on 6 days rest with full stuff. Pittsburgh carries a .253 team BA and 9.30 K/9 allowed by their own staff, signaling a lineup that generates swing-and-miss. The 4.5 line is a full strikeout below Jobe's worst recent output, and market pricing at -167 still leaves value given how consistent the recent trend is.
Jackson Jobe over 3.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5900
Read original reasoning
Jobe's 2026 K/9 is 8.32 (26 K in 28.1 IP). Last 3 starts: 7, 4, 4 Ks — all three cleared 3.5. Returns on 7 days of extended rest. COL lineup posts wOBA of just 0.306 (per NRFI lineup data), a weak offensive profile. A 3.5 K line is a modest ask even if he exits early.
Jackson Jobe under 3.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7200
Read original reasoning
Jobe's K rate is modest — 7.07 K/9 in 14.0 IP in 2026 and 7.16 K/9 in 49.0 IP in 2025. Last 3 starts: 3 K, 4 K, 4 K — only one cleared 3.5, and the 3-K outing came in 5.1 IP, showing it is not a volume issue alone. TB lineup posts a .735 OPS and 4.5 R/G as a unit; they are disciplined enough to work counts and keep his K total modest. Market prices under as the implied favorite at -139 (58.1%), aligning with his track record.
