Jacob Misiorowski over 6.5 strikeoutsL
Oct 11, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
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Misiorowski's 2026 K/9 of 13.02 (258 K in 178.2 IP) is elite. His last three starts were shortened late-season outings (4.0, 5.1, 3.0 IP) that capped K totals at 4-6 — not a reflection of his stuff. In three career starts vs LAD he's posted 6, 9, and 12 Ks, averaging 9.0 per outing when given full run. In a NLCS Game 1 on 14 days rest at home, he projects for 6+ innings. Dodgers catcher Will Smith struck out 7 times in 16 NLDS AB; Ohtani slumping at .520 OPS over his last 23 games. Situational angle supports elevated pitch velocity and strikeout sequencing in a playoff showcase. Over 6.5 is well within his profile.
Jacob Misiorowski over 7.5 strikeoutsL
Oct 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6400
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MLB-leading 252 K in 174.2 IP (13.0 K/9). Only matchup vs SD this season (May 13 2026): 10 Ks in 7.0 IP of shutout ball. Outs line of 17.5 projects ~5.8 IP; at 13.0 K/9 that yields 8.4 Ks. Postseason Game 1 motivation to go deep. Opponents hitting .157 against him. SD lineup has no established track record vs him — Merrill, Machado, Bogaerts all 0-for-3 (0.000 OPS) in 2026 sample. Elite strikeout environment.
Jacob Misiorowski over 6.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8200
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Misiorowski's 2026 K rate is elite — 247 K in 169.1 IP translates to 13.1 K/9. STL batters are getting destroyed in career matchups: Burleson is 0.154 OPS (13 PA), Bryan Torres is 0.000 OPS (5 PA), Masyn Winn is 0.000 OPS (5 PA), Victor Scott II is 0.000 OPS (7 PA), Nolan Gorman is 0.143 OPS (7 PA). Prior 2026 starts vs STL: 11 K and 12 K in 7-inning outings. With 7 days rest after the Sep 20 three-inning appearance, he figures to go deeper. Even at 5 innings with his K rate he reaches 7+. The main risk is a repeat workload cap — hence MEDIUM, not HIGH.
