Jake Bauers

Bauers has the best BvP sample vs Rasmussen among the Brewers roster: 9 PA, .375 AVG, 0.819 OPS lifetime. His 2023 appearances produced 1.000 OPS over 4 PA, and 2025 yielded a 2.000 OPS line in 2 PA — admittedly small samples but consistently productive contact against this pitcher. Season line of .266/.389/.484 with 26 HR shows gap power. A single hit or any extra-base contact clears 0.5 total bases. At -125, the market's 55.6% implied probability feels light given the career edge.

Bauers owns Pallante: career 11 PA, .714 AVG, 2.104 OPS, 1 HR. In 2026 alone: 6 PA, 2.750 OPS — a historically dominant matchup. Bauers has 26 HR on the season with a .486 SLG. Pallante has allowed 11 HR in 157.0 IP and has been rocked in every prior MIL start (6 ER in 5 IP, Jul 9; 5 ER in 6 IP, May 6). Getting a total base out of Bauers vs this pitcher is the highest-percentage individual batter play on the board. Consistent with MIL -1.5 main pick.

Bauers is 2-for-4 with a 1.850 OPS and a home run in 5 PA vs McGreevy in 2026 — note this is a small sample (5 PA), but the quality of contact is notable. Season line: .268/.393/.491 with 26 HR and a .868 OPS vs RHP (McGreevy is RHP). He generates real power and on-base value against right-handers. McGreevy allows 21 HR in 164.0 IP (1.15 HR/9) and has struggled with command in recent outings. Bauers is one of MIL's most dangerous bats against the handedness he's facing tonight.