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Bats L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-26 — 2026-09-19 · 31 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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No saved upcoming picks for Jake Fraley.
Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 3 past picks from 3 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Apr 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8600
Career vs Skenes: 0-for-5 (.000 AVG, 0.200 OPS) — all 5 PA came in 2024 with no hits. Season average is .214 with a 0.556 vR OPS against right-handers (Skenes is RHP). Skenes generates elite swing-and-miss and Fraley's career sample against him shows complete futility. Market: -116 for under (53.8%) is underpriced for a batter who is 0-for-5 career with a .200 OPS against today's starter.
Apr 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
0-for-15 career vs Taillon across 4 separate seasons (2021: 0/3, 2023: 0/5, 2024: 0/5, 2025: 0/2), .000 AVG, 0.067 OPS. This is one of the most consistent BvP futility lines in the data — not a small-sample fluke but a repeated pattern. Fraley's overall season OPS is modest (.263/.364/.421, 22 PA). Tropicana's pitcher-friendly park (runs factor 0.96) compounds suppression. Under game script aligns. +110 price offers clear overlay against the 47.6% market-implied probability.
Apr 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
Career vs Ober: 10 PA, .100 AVG, 0.200 OPS — only 1 hit in 10 career PA. Year-by-year: 2021 (2 PA, 0.000 OPS), 2023 (3 PA, 0.000 OPS), 2024 (3 PA, 0.000 OPS), 2025 (2 PA, 1.000 OPS — small sample only). Three of four seasons produced zero OPS. 2026 season .308 AVG offers some counterweight but the sustained BvP history is a strong under signal. Under at +108 is plus-money value.
Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Tampa Bay Rays | 31 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 5 | .216 | .289 | .364 | .653 |
| 2025 · | 76 | 217 | 46 | 6 | 23 | .241 | .332 | .382 | .714 |
| 2025 · Atlanta Braves | 9 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .304 | .333 | .348 | .681 |
| 2025 · Cincinnati Reds | 67 | 193 | 39 | 6 | 23 | .232 | .332 | .387 | .719 |
| 2024 · Cincinnati Reds | 116 | 382 | 97 | 5 | 26 | .277 | .330 | .386 | .716 |
| 2023 · Cincinnati Reds | 111 | 380 | 86 | 15 | 65 | .256 | .339 | .443 | .782 |
| 2022 · Cincinnati Reds | 68 | 247 | 56 | 12 | 28 | .259 | .344 | .468 | .812 |
| 2021 · Seattle Mariners | 78 | 265 | 45 | 9 | 36 | .210 | .352 | .369 | .721 |
| 2020 · Seattle Mariners | 7 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .241 | .269 | .510 |
| 2019 · Seattle Mariners | 12 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .150 | .171 | .200 | .371 |
| Career | 499 | 1658 | 359 | 49 | 184 | .246 | .330 | .400 | .730 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 4 | 0.088 | 0.000 | 85.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-18 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-09-17 | 2 | 0.349 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | 3 | 0.072 | 0.000 | 81.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-13 | 5 | 0.166 | 0.000 | 60.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-11 | 4 | 0.249 | 0.250 | 98.9 | 0.500 |
| 2026-05-05 | 4 | 0.395 | 0.500 | 79.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2 | 0.172 | 0.000 | 82.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-02 | 2 | 0.259 | 0.500 | 80.9 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-01 | 3 | 0.047 | 0.000 | 83.1 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 97 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 59 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 59 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 59 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 97 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 97 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
