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Throws R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-04-30 — 2026-05-26 · 4 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
May 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8700
Alexander's last 3 starts produced 4 K, 5 K, and 1 K — averaging only 3.3 Ks per outing. His 7.30 ERA in 2026 (12.1 IP) reflects a hittable pitcher prone to early exits: lasted just 2 IP vs BAL and 4.1 IP vs LAD. A TEX lineup that can put balls in play quickly limits his K opportunities. Under at -115 (53.5% implied) aligns with his recent output trend.
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What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChangeupCH | 35% | 80.4 | 29.4% | 0.274 | 83.1 | -18.2 | 2.6 | 1818 |
| SinkerSI | 23% | 91.0 | 16.7% | 0.494 | 92.0 | -17.3 | 2.1 | 2058 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 23% | 91.5 | 11.4% | 0.293 | 91.2 | -15.4 | 12.3 | 2316 |
| CutterFC | 7% | 85.4 | 11.1% | 0.431 | 86.8 | 2.8 | 6.1 | 2276 |
| SweeperSW | 6% | 78.6 | 20.0% | 0.411 | 80.6 | 16.0 | -0.4 | 2563 |
| SliderSL | 5% | 81.8 | 22.2% | 0.004 | 86.3 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 2413 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Houston Astros | 4 | 2 | 18.1 | 14 | 8 | 9.33 | 1.58 |
| 2025 · | 18 | 13 | 77.1 | 65 | 26 | 4.77 | 1.37 |
| 2025 · Houston Astros | 14 | 13 | 71.1 | 60 | 21 | 3.66 | 1.25 |
| 2025 · Athletics | 4 | 0 | 6.0 | 5 | 5 | 18.00 | 2.83 |
| 2022 · Milwaukee Brewers | 18 | 11 | 71.2 | 46 | 28 | 5.40 | 1.62 |
| Career | 40 | 26 | 167.1 | 125 | 62 | 5.54 | 1.50 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | 27 | 0.373 | 0.250 | 86.3 | 0.150 |
| 2026-05-19 | 23 | 0.224 | 0.182 | 87.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-06 | 22 | 0.379 | 0.429 | 87.8 | 0.125 |
| 2026-04-30 | 11 | 0.369 | 0.250 | 87.1 | 0.143 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 84 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 61 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 56 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 57 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
