Jeff McNeil

McNeil is 2-for-10 (.200 AVG, 0.400 OPS) in 10 career PA vs Gilbert. The trend is negative: 2024 saw a 0.000 OPS in 3 PA. His 2026 sample (4 PA, 0.500 OPS) is small. Gilbert's 3.42 ERA and precise command suppresses contact against a batter already struggling in this matchup. At +154 odds, the under is priced at 39.4% implied while career data supports a higher true probability. Good market value.

McNeil is .444 AVG with 1.101 OPS in 11 career PA vs Wacha. In 2026 specifically: 3 PA, 2.500 OPS (small sample but elite production). His L7d OPS is 1.095 — entering hot. With Wacha limited to a pitch-count-managed appearance after 115 pitches yesterday, his stuff will be diminished and McNeil should see multiple ABs against a fatigued arm. McNeil is a contact hitter who punishes depleted velocity. At +174 this line has genuine upside value.

McNeil's career vs Peralta covers 11 PA across five seasons (2021, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026) with a .100 AVG and 0.382 OPS — sustained futility against this specific pitcher. His 2026 line vs Peralta is 3 PA with 1.000 OPS, but that is a small sample that should not override the multi-year career suppression pattern. McNeil's own form reinforces the under: vR split of 0.674 and L7d OPS of just 0.607 means he's cold and struggling against righties. Under 0.5 hits at +174 provides strong value when career matchup data and recent form both point the same direction.