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Throws R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-04-08 — 2026-09-27 · 12 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
May 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
Scholtens last 3 starts: 4, 3, 1 Ks — averaging 2.67 Ks/start with a ceiling of just 4. His 2026 line of 21 K in 27.1 IP (6.9 K/9) is undermined by short outings (3.0 IP in May 02, 4.1 IP in Apr 26) and 10 BB in 27.1 IP — high walk rate means he issues free passes rather than Ks. Market implies 48.1% probability of under; true probability closer to 65% based on recent form. Under 3.5 at +108 is value.
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What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SliderSL | 31% | 88.3 | 16.2% | 0.427 | 89.3 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 2370 |
| SinkerSI | 23% | 92.1 | 19.4% | 0.317 | 83.2 | -14.9 | 12.4 | 2171 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 21% | 93.1 | 25.0% | 0.375 | 88.9 | -5.0 | 17.7 | 2223 |
| Split-FingerFS | 15% | 84.0 | 16.4% | 0.326 | 89.1 | -10.5 | 0.3 | 1017 |
| SweeperSW | 10% | 80.4 | 29.7% | 0.202 | 84.5 | 14.9 | 1.1 | 2521 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Tampa Bay Rays | 12 | 2 | 47.2 | 37 | 15 | 4.34 | 1.34 |
| 2025 · Tampa Bay Rays | 2 | 0 | 8.1 | 12 | 3 | 5.40 | 1.44 |
| 2023 · Chicago White Sox | 26 | 11 | 85.0 | 58 | 30 | 5.29 | 1.53 |
| Career | 40 | 13 | 141.0 | 107 | 48 | 4.98 | 1.46 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 13 | 0.320 | 0.273 | 88.3 | 0.111 |
| 2026-08-18 | 19 | 0.337 | 0.278 | 86.3 | 0.062 |
| 2026-08-14 | 13 | 0.391 | 0.364 | 84.0 | 0.111 |
| 2026-05-25 | 9 | 0.676 | 0.500 | 99.3 | 0.250 |
| 2026-05-20 | 19 | 0.484 | 0.333 | 91.9 | 0.214 |
| 2026-05-15 | 21 | 0.193 | 0.238 | 82.9 | 0.059 |
| 2026-05-08 | 20 | 0.347 | 0.118 | 84.2 | 0.167 |
| 2026-05-02 | 12 | 0.360 | 0.333 | 89.0 | 0.111 |
| 2026-04-26 | 20 | 0.275 | 0.176 | 82.5 | 0.062 |
| 2026-04-20 | 26 | 0.331 | 0.320 | 89.8 | 0.105 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 209 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 154 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 138 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 142 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
