JJ Bleday under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9000
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Career vs Tyler Mahle: 3 PA, .000 AVG, 0.000 OPS — 0-for-3 with zero hard contact. Season BA of .217 and L28d OPS of 0.599 confirm a below-average hitter in a down stretch. Mahle has a 3.81 ERA and 133 Ks in 2026 — a strike-thrower who has already seen Bleday and blanked him. At -111 the market is essentially coin-flipping on a player with a 0.000 career OPS against today's starter; the BvP data and season form both point under.
JJ Bleday under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0000
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Bleday is 0-for-5 career vs Yamamoto (5 PA, .000 AVG, 0.200 OPS — all plate appearances resulting in out or walk). Season context reinforces the lean: .214 AVG overall, .788 OPS vs RHP which looks decent but Yamamoto is an outlier arm. Bleday's L7d OPS is .484 — he's currently cold. Market prices Under at +100 (50% implied) which is generous given the 0-for-5 career history against today's confirmed starter. Under 0.5 hits at even money is clear value here.
JJ Bleday over 0.5 hitsL
Aug 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5400
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Bleday owns King in career matchups: 10 PA, .429 AVG, 1.457 OPS, 1 HR. The 2026 sample specifically is dominant — 4 PA, 2.750 OPS. Even with a down season (.218 BA overall), Bleday has a clear BvP edge here. His vRHP OPS sits at .793, above his season norm, and King has seen him consistently across three years. Small overall sample (10 PA) warrants MEDIUM rather than HIGH, but directional edge is clear.
