May 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
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Wicks' last 3 tracked starts: 3.0 IP (4 K, Sep 28), 1.0 IP (1 K, Sep 23), 1.0 IP (0 K, Aug 27) — a pattern of extreme brevity suggesting either injury/ineffectiveness limiting his outings. The outs market has him at 14.5 outs (4.83 IP equivalent), meaning even in a best-case scenario he projects to ~3.5 Ks at his career 8.2 K/9 rate. Any early exit — which his recent starts strongly suggest — easily lands him under 4 strikeouts. Pirates offense scores 4.8 R/G and hits well vs LHP (23-16 vs RHP, but their hitters like Cruz vL 0.851 and Lowe thrive). Under 3.5 at +110 offers value given Wicks' instability.