Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every MLB game
José Alvarado
Throws L · 2026 player profile
Quality of contact allowed
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-28 — 2026-09-26 · 68 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
Next Matchup
PHI at —
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No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.
Our picks on Alvarado
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Pick record checked Oct 14, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Our past picks
Original reasoning and recorded results.
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Inside the repertoire
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
The arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SinkerSI | 63% | 97.8 | 20.5% | 0.354 | 87.1 | 14.3 | 12.4 | 2025 |
| CutterFC | 32% | 91.5 | 39.1% | 0.241 | 83.3 | -2.5 | 5.2 | 2120 |
| CurveballCU | 3% | 84.9 | 30.0% | 0.252 | 94.8 | -0.7 | -3.8 | 2330 |
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 2% | 97.1 | 25.0% | 0.229 | 82.8 | 7.7 | 15.5 | 1994 |
Contact allowed by location
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Data detail
Season & career
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Philadelphia Phillies | 68 | 0 | 58.1 | 70 | 31 | 5.86 | 1.65 |
| 2025 · Philadelphia Phillies | 28 | 0 | 26.0 | 32 | 7 | 3.81 | 1.31 |
| 2024 · Philadelphia Phillies | 66 | 0 | 61.2 | 63 | 28 | 4.09 | 1.25 |
| 2023 · Philadelphia Phillies | 42 | 0 | 41.1 | 64 | 18 | 1.74 | 1.16 |
| 2022 · Philadelphia Phillies | 59 | 0 | 51.0 | 81 | 24 | 3.18 | 1.22 |
| 2021 · Philadelphia Phillies | 64 | 0 | 55.2 | 68 | 47 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| 2020 · Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 0 | 9.0 | 13 | 6 | 6.00 | 1.67 |
| 2019 · Tampa Bay Rays | 35 | 1 | 30.0 | 39 | 27 | 4.80 | 1.87 |
| 2018 · Tampa Bay Rays | 70 | 0 | 64.0 | 80 | 29 | 2.39 | 1.11 |
| 2017 · Tampa Bay Rays | 35 | 0 | 29.2 | 29 | 9 | 3.64 | 1.11 |
| Career | 476 | 1 | 426.2 | 539 | 226 | 3.80 | 1.36 |
Recorded game dates 68 dates
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 4 | 0.527 | 0.333 | 88.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-24 | 4 | 0.493 | 0.667 | 94.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-22 | 1 | 0.296 | 0.000 | 99.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4 | 0.136 | 0.250 | 82.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-19 | 4 | 0.418 | 0.333 | 86.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-16 | 4 | 0.381 | 0.000 | 88.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-13 | 6 | 0.384 | 0.500 | 83.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-11 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | 4 | 0.518 | 0.400 | 86.6 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-08 | 4 | 0.181 | 0.000 | 96.1 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
How to read these numbers
Sample: 273 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 164 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 145 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 159 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
